Handout  ·  Introduction to Economic Evaluation in Health

Appraisal checklist: the eleven principles

Use this on any published economic evaluation. Work down the list, write what the paper actually did in the fourth column, and mark the last. A paper that fails a principle is not necessarily a bad paper, but the failure should change how much weight you give its conclusion, and you should be able to say how.

Derived from Sharma D, Prinja S, Aggarwal AK, Rajsekar K, Bahuguna P. Development of the Indian Reference Case for undertaking economic evaluation for health technology assessment. Lancet Reg Health Southeast Asia 2023;16:100241. PMID 37694178

#PrincipleWhat India asks forWhat the paper did✓ / ✗ / unclear
1Decision problem Stated as who does what, to whom, where, when, how often. Policy question, condition, setting, target population, and any subgroups named in advance.
2Comparator Current practice in use, from standard treatment guidelines or the most widely used option. Not "do nothing" unless that is genuinely current practice. Dose, frequency, duration and route reported for drugs.
3Perspective Abridged societal in the base case: direct medical and direct non-medical costs borne by payer and patient, including out-of-pocket. Healthcare payer perspective reported separately.
4Source of effectiveness evidence Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs preferred; network meta-analysis if no head-to-head trial. Level of evidence stated. Expert opinion avoided.
5Measuring costs NHSCD / CHSI for health-system costs, NSS 75th round for out-of-pocket. Capital costs annuitised. Indirect costs in sensitivity analysis only, by the human capital approach. Intangible costs excluded, being already in the QALY.
6Health outcomes Cost–utility analysis with QALYs; EQ-5D-5L with the Indian value set. EQ-5D-Y for 8 to 15 (proxy 4 to 8), adult Indian value set for 4 to 15, DALYs permitted under 4.
7Time horizon Long enough to capture all differential costs and effects. Lifetime where mortality or survival is affected. Shorter horizons justified and tested in scenario analysis.
8Discounting 3% on both costs and outcomes beyond one year. Varied 0 to 5% in sensitivity analysis. Undiscounted results also reported.
9Heterogeneity Subgroup analysis, with subgroups identified at the planning stage and the basis justified. Not post hoc.
10Uncertainty PSA for all analyses, presented as a CEAC. DSA for key structural assumptions and influential parameters. Scenario analysis including best and worst case.
11Equity All lives and QALYs valued equally. Distributional CEA, or extended CEA for financial risk protection, where relevant.
12Presentation Disaggregated and aggregated results. Total costs and total outcomes given separately, not only the ratio. Graphs used. Departures from the Reference Case justified.

Eleven principles, twelve recommendations. Principles 1 and 2 share a recommendation in the source document, which is why the numbering runs to 12.

The five questions to answer out loud when you report back

  1. What is the comparator, and is it what actually happens now? If not, every ICER in the paper is flattering.
  2. Whose costs are counted? If out-of-pocket payments are missing in an Indian study, say what that hides.
  3. How long is the time horizon, and does the benefit have time to arrive? Prevention studied over five years is a rigged question.
  4. Is the outcome a QALY or a DALY? You cannot put the two in the same league table.
  5. How was uncertainty handled, and what was the probability of being cost-effective? A point estimate with no PSA is a claim without an error bar.

And then the question that matters

Do you believe the conclusion? Not "is the arithmetic right". Is the decision it recommends one you would defend in front of the people whose care would be displaced to pay for it?